Friday 11 December 2015

Woody Reviews - Champions League Groups - Part Two

Today I review some of the closest groups in the Champions League including the previous winners and the German and English domestic champions.

Group E

ClubsPWDLFA+/-Pts
FC Barcelona FC Barcelona64201541114
AS Roma AS Roma61321116-56
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen6132131216
FC BATE Borisov FC BATE Borisov6123512-75

It was business as usual for Barcelona in Group E as they set out to attempt to win back-to-back Champions League's. Despite starting and ending the group with 1-1 draws against both AS Roma and Bayer Leverkusen, Barcelona asserted their dominance in winning the other 4 games in comfortable fashion scoring 13 and conceding only 2. The 6-1 thrashing of Roma at home will make teams be very weary of coming up against the holders. It's going to take a lot to beat this Barcelona side, especially when Messi, Neymar and Suarez are in top form so whoever draws them has to make sure they don't slip up at home and needs to be able to get a result at the Nou Camp which is no easy task. With the form the attacking trio are in, I can see this Barcelona team at least reaching the semi-final again this year and can't see many teams stopping them. The head-to-head system proved to be AS Roma's saviour in this Group E as they managed to pick up their only win against Bayer Leverkusen at home following a thrilling 4-4 draw away. The Italians showed some positives in drawing at home to Barcelona and winning against Leverkusen however away from home they slipped up and need to learn from their defensive woes. To concede 13 goals in 3 games away from home is not good enough and if they continue this then their chances of progression past the Round of 16 is very slim. At home they looked better but need to score more as results like a 0-0 against BATE Borisov on game-week 4 cannot be replicated. It's not very often a team progresses having only picked up 1 win out of 6 so Roma can count themselves as very lucky to get through. Bayer Leverkusen, similar to Roma, can take positives in drawing at home to Barcelona however conceding an average of 2 goals per game both home and away was their downfall. They struggled against Roma and that proved to be the deciding point in this group. They will feel hard done by due to having a +6 better goal difference than Roma, however with the group being decided by head-to-head you have to perform in every game and you can't just rely on winning once. With the goals they have in their team and with Javier Hernandez in top form, I can see this team getting far in the Europa League. I thought that BATE Borisov would be a team to watch out for and they proved to be just that in finishing just a point off 2nd and 3rd. Everyone involved with the club from Belarus can be proud with the way they played throughout this group stage and with results like their 3-2 home win against Roma and 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture, this has by far been their best showing in the competition and if they qualify next year, they'll be a team that many will fear.

Group F

ClubsPWDLFA+/-Pts
FC Bayern München FC Bayern München65011931615
Arsenal FC Arsenal FC6303121029
Olympiacos FC Olympiacos FC6303613-79
GNK Dinamo Zagreb GNK Dinamo Zagreb6105314-113

Bayern Munich looked absolutely incredible in this group and alongside Barcelona, I'd say they have to be favourites due to their performances so far. They did suffer a 2-0 defeat away at the Emirates but even in that game they still dominated and were unlucky not to pick up at least a point. At home however, Bayern Munich looked unbeatable as they scored an incredible 14 and conceded just once. Pep Guardiola has clearly got the team playing exactly how he wants them too and it looks effortless for them even when they win 5-0 which underlines the quality of this squad. If they keep playing like they are right now, I don't think anyone can stop them reaching the semi-finals for the 5th year in succession. If you get drawn against Bayern, you have to take advantage of the home leg and play counter attacking football and taking your chances will be crucial. The only sides that could probably match the intensity of playing a possession game against Bayern would be Barcelona and Real Madrid at this point in time. Away from home Bayern do struggle a bit more but with the players they have, they'll be a formidable opponent for any opposition. Being an Arsenal fan, this group stage was a rollercoaster of emotions to say the least. I was optimistic of getting 2nd at the start of the group however back to back defeats against Dinamo Zagreb away and Olympiakos at home put the Gunners in a dire situation. The win at home to Bayern ended up being pivotal to Arsenal's eventual progression as after getting absolutely outplayed in a 5-1 defeat to Bayern at the Allianz, Arsenal needed to win their remaining games to stand a chance. A 3-0 win against Zagreb left the Gunners needing to win by a scoreline of 3-2 or better and a hat-trick from Olivier Giroud topped off a complete performance to see the English side into the Round of 16. After being lucky to progress, Arsenal cannot afford any more slip-ups in this competition in order to make it to past the next stage for the first time in 5 years. Knowing our luck however we'll probably draw Barcelona. Arsenal need to take advantage of the home leg instead of leaving themselves a mountain to climb in the away leg if they're to progress. Olympiakos will feel hard done by this year after throwing away their place in the next phase. Their home form was unfortunately not good enough this year and that proved to be crucial as they crashed out. A lucky opener for Arsenal in the final game seemed to down morale of the player and at 2-0 a good chance from a set-piece was well saved by Cech and if  that had gone in, the outcome could have been so different. They head into the Europa League with fine domestic league form and if they play as well as they can, they could make a good run in that competition. In recent years Dinamo Zagreb had only picked up 1 point in the Champions League Group Stage. This year however, they produced a much better showing as they managed to pick up a great win against Arsenal. Unfortunately, that was as good as it got for them this year as they suffered 5 defeats on the bounce. Despite that, other than the 5-0 and 3-0 defeats against Bayern and Arsenal respectively, Zagreb put up a much better showing this year and kept the majority of their games close which shows their growth in maturity, quality and unity so everyone associated with the club can be proud of their team. Hopefully, we see them back next year and I'm sure they'll win their domestic league for an 11th year in a row. 

Group G

ClubsPWDLFA+/-Pts
Chelsea FC Chelsea FC64111331013
FC Dynamo Kyiv FC Dynamo Kyiv632184411
FC Porto FC Porto631298110
Maccabi Tel-Aviv FC Maccabi Tel-Aviv FC6006116-150

It's been an awful season for the current Premier League holders Chelsea so far domestically, however in Europe, they look a much better side. Having only picked up 4 points from their opening 3 games, it looked like their poor form was carrying into Europe however, the squad rallied together and managed to pick up 3 wins on the bounce to finish top of this group. Willian has been incredible for Chelsea this season, especially in the Champions League so for whoever Chelsea are drawn against, not giving away a free-kick in a dangerous area would be my best advice. At home Chelsea look brilliant which is important as they head into the the Round of 16 however away from home they will have to improve and replicate a result like the 4-0 win away at Maccabi Tel-Aviv if they're to get far in this competition. They will have to stay consistent in this competition if they hope to make good progress as they can't afford to be as inconsistent as they have in the Premier League. I felt as though keeping Andriy Yarmolenko would be crucial to this team getting 2nd and that showed as Dynamo Kyiv managed to progress past the Group Stage for the first time since the 1998/99 season in which they made the semi-final. However, I don't think they'll be able to progress as far in this campaign. Defensively they look solid and this will certainly make them hard to beat in this competition. Being unbeaten at home is certainly a great achievement and if they keep this up then they will be formidable opponents for any side and away from home they have been very good at keeping the score low so if they keep this up, they could cause an upset in the next stage for sure. FC Porto will be disappointed not to get through after being top of the group going into the final game but after successive 2-0 defeats home to Dynamo Kyiv and away to Chelsea, their fate to drop into the Europa League was sealed. After a solid start to the group Porto showed how good they could be and that's why I think they'll do well in the Europa League. Maccabi Tel-Aviv's return to the Champions League didn't go too well as they failed to pick up a single point. They played well in most games however lacked the quality that other teams in this competition have and that was the decisive factor in them finishing bottom of this group. 

Group H

ClubsPWDLFA+/-Pts
FC Zenit FC Zenit6501136715
KAA Gent KAA Gent631287110
Valencia CF Valencia CF620459-46
Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais611459-44
My prediction for this group ended up being completely inaccurate but that's the beauty of the Champions League, the fact that anyone can beat anyone makes every game entertaining which was proved by this group in particular. Zenit have tended to be known as a one man team with Hulk leading the line but there was another who stole the headlines for the Russian side in this competition and that was the striker Dzyuba who ended the Group Stage with 6 goals, doubling Hulk's tally. The Russian looked like a solid outfit during this group stage as they strolled into the next round with a perfect home record and that will leave teams weary of facing Zenit. They did have one slip up away from home to the surprise package KAA Gent and that's something they can't afford to repeat in the next phase of the competition. This year's surprise package was Champions League debutants KAA Gent. After winning the Belgium Pro League Title for the first time last year, it doesn't seem like things can get much better for Gent right now as they shocked Valencia and Lyon in managing to progress to the Round of 16. They've shocked everyone in making it this far in the competition so whoever plays them are going to have to show them respect and maybe Gent could pull off yet another shock result in the next round. Winning the last 3 games to qualify shows that they've adapted to the pressure of playing in this competition so it'll be interesting to see how far they can make it. A lack of goals for Valencia ended up being their downfall as they failed to score in their last 3 games. Gary Neville has a difficult job to get this team firing again after poor form in the league and in Europe. He may be helped as his side heads into the Europa League where the opposition may not match the quality of the teams in the Champions League. Who knows, maybe Neville's Valencia will be drawn against his old side Manchester United. Olympique Lyonnais were my favourites to win this group following how good they were last year however they failed to adapt to the pressure of the Champions League as they finished last. After a point to start the campaign, fans were optimistic of progression, however they faced a rude awakening in losing the next four games before finally picking up a win in their last game against Valencia. However, I'm sure their players will learn from this disappointing experience and come back stronger next time they are in this competition.

Who can the English teams draw?

Harder Opposition
Favourable Opposition

Manchester City

PSG
PSV 
Benfica
Roma
Dynamo Kyiv
Gent

Arsenal

Real Madrid
Wolfsburg
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona 
Zenit

Chelsea

PSG
PSV
Benfica 
Juventus
Roma 
Gent

No comments:

Post a Comment